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cesquadrupled,and1979~1980,whentheyalsoalmosttripled.Bothpreviousshocksresultedindouble-digitinflationandglobaleconomicdecline.Sowherearetheheadlineswarningofgloomanddoomthistime

TheoilpricewasgivenanotherpushupthisweekwhenIraqsuspendedoilexports.Strengtheningeconomicgrowth,atthesametimeaswintergripsthenorthernhemisphere,couldpushthepricehigherstillintheshortterm.

Yettherearegoodreasonstoexpecttheeconomicconsequencesnowtobelessseverethaninthe1970s.Inmostcountriesthecostofcrudeoilnowaccountsforasmallershareofthepriceofpetrolthanitdidinthe1970s.InEurope,taxesaccountforuptofour-fifthsoftheretailprice,soevenquitebigchangesinthepriceofcrudehaveamoremutedeffectonpumppricesthaninthepast.

Richeconomiesarealsolessdependentonoilthantheywere,andsolesssensitivetoswingsintheoilprice.Energyconservation,ashifttootherfuelsandadeclineintheimportanceofheavy,energy-intensiveindustrieshavereducedoilconsumption.Software,consultancyandmobiletelephonesusefarlessoilthansteelorcarproduction.ForeachdollarofGDP(inconstantprices)richeconomiesnowusenearly50%lessoilthanin1973.TheOECDestimatesinitslatestEconomicOutlookthat,ifoilpricesaveraged$22abarrelforafullyear,paredwith$13in1998,thiswouldincreasetheoilimportbillinricheconomiesbyonly025%~05%ofGDP.Thatislessthanone-quarteroftheinelossin1974or1980.Ontheotherhand,oil-importingemergingeconomies—towhichheavyindustryhasshifted—havebeemoreenergy-intensive,andsocouldbemoreseriouslysqueezed.

Onemorereasonnottolosesleepovertheriseinoilpricesisthat,unliketherisesinthe1970s,ithasnotoccurredagainstthebackgroundofgeneralmodity-priceinflationandglobalexcessdemand.Asizableportionoftheworldisonlyjustemergingfromeconomicdecline.TheEconomist'smoditypriceindexisbroadlyunchangingfromayearago.In1973moditypricesjumpedby70%,andin1979byalmost30%.(2002年Text3)

Wecandrawaconclusionfromthetextthat.

[A]oil-priceshocksarelessshockingnow

[B]inflationseemsirrelevanttooil-priceshocks

[C]energyconservationcankeepdowntheoilprices

[D]thepriceriseofcrudeleadstotheshrinkingofheavyindustry

文章前面两段描述出一种现象,指出最近石油价格大幅上涨,接着在文章中间部分提出文章主旨"这次油价上涨不会造成经济衰退的原因",并在以后各段分别论述这些原因.正确答案为[A]选项.这里涉及的阅读技巧是当有but,however,yet,while之类的转折连词出现时,该篇/段/意群/句的中心往往是这些词后面的部分.

(3)文章末段或段落末句对全文或全段进行总结归纳,得出中心思想.

Example

Scatteredaroundtheglobearemorethan100smallregionsofisolatedvolcanicactivityknowntogeologistsashotspots.Unlikemostoftheworld'svolcanoes,theyarenotalwaysfoundattheboundariesofthegreatdriftingplatesthatmakeuptheearth'ssurface,onthecontrary,manyofthemliedeepintheinteriorofaplate.Mostofthehotspotsmoveonlyslowly,andinsomecasesthemovementoftheplatespastthemhaslefttrailsofdeadvolcanoes.Thehotspotsandtheirvolcanictrailsaremilestonesthatmarkthepassageoftheplates.

Thattheplatesaremovingisnowbeyonddispute.AfricaandSouthAmerica,forexample,aremovingawayfromeachotherasnewmaterialisinjectedintotheseafloorbetweenthem.Theplementarycoastlinesandcertaingeologicalfeaturesthatseemtospantheoceanareremindersofwherethetwocontinentswereoncejoined.Therelativemotionoftheplatescarryingthesecontinentshasbeenconstructedindetail,butthemotionofoneplatewithrespecttoanothercannotreadilybetranslatedintomotionwithrespecttotheearth'sinterior.Itisnotpossibletodeterminewhetherbothcontinentsaremovinginoppositedirectionsorwhetheronecontinentisstationaryandtheotherisdriftingawayfromit.Hotspots,anchoredinthedeeperlayersoftheearth,providethemeasuringinstrumentsneededtoresolvethequestion.Fromananalysisofthehot-spotpopulationitappearsthattheAfricanplateisstationaryandthatithasnotmovedduringthepast30millionyears.

Thesignificanceofhotspotsisnotconfinedtotheirroleasaframeofreference.Itnowappearsthattheyalsohaveanimportantinfluenceonthegeophysicalprocessesthatpropeltheplatesacrosstheglobe.Whenacontinentalplateestorestoverahotspot,thematerialrisingfromdeeperlayerscreatesabroaddome.Asthedomegrows,itdevelopsdeepfissures(cracks),inatleastafewcasesthecontinentmaybreakentirelyalongsomeofthesefissures,sothatthehotspotinitiatestheformationofanewocean.Thusjustasearliertheorieshaveexplainedthemobilityofthecontinents,sohotspotsmayexplaintheirmutability(inconstancy).(1998年Passage5)

Thepassageismainlyabout.

[A]thefeaturesofvolcanicactivities

[B]theimportanceofthetheoryaboutdriftingplates

[C]thesignificanceofhotspotsingeophysicalstudies

[D]theprocessoftheformationofvolcanoes

文章总共三段,第一段对热点下定义:热点及其火山痕迹是板块移动的标志.第二段和第三段主要论述热点理论的作用.全文主旨句是第三段的前两句,它们承上启下,指出热点不仅有参照作用,还对推动板块移动的地质物理学过程提供了解释.正确答案为[C]选项.

(4)文章或段落中不明确给出中心,考生要根据各段中心或各句的内容进行总结,自己推出主旨.

Example

Ahistoryoflongandeffortlesss

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

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